How Your Brain Impacts Your Investment Decisions

The Golden Rule of Investing is “Buy Low, Sell High”. Seems rather simple and easy to follow, so why do individual investors consistently underperform market indices? Despite the simplicity of the rule, it turns out it’s difficult to implement. Countless factors impact how individuals make decisions on a daily basis, and, generally speaking, these factors [...]

Indicators of Future Returns

Returns on stocks and bonds have been quite impressive over the past 10 years ending September 30, 2019. In fact, stocks (as measured by the S&P 500 Index) have had a total return just over 13% per year, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has had a total return of approximately 4% annually1. While it’s [...]

Discounted Cash is King in 2018

Major asset classes largely posted negative returns in 2018 – save for one, oft forgotten asset class – Cash. The S&P US T-Bill 0-3 Month Index posted returns of approximately 1.8% in 2018 (Source: Bloomberg), outpacing broad equity and bond indices. However, “Discounted Cash” far outpaced traditional T-bills in 2018 and is poised to do [...]